Best Superfecta Wagering Strategies
“The Very Best Way We Know to Play the Superfecta”. We will wrap up the article by considering the handicapping and wagering. A $1 Superfecta with this ticket costs $80, about the same. Tip #1- Do Your Homework! Thousands of people bet millions of dollars on horse races each year.
Superfecta wagers can bring horse racing bettors some of the biggest payoffs of their lives if they can hit a few of them now and then. To win a superfecta wager, you have to correctly predict the first four in the order of finish of a race. While that may sound impossible, the rewards for such a wager might just tempt you to go for it the next time you bet.
- Horse Race Superfectas. The Superfecta wager has gained in popularity among horseplayers in the last decade, thanks to the opportunity to make a large windfall with a moderate investment. In the past several years, the Superfecta betting pools have also grown with the introduction of the 10-cent Superfecta which are available at most racetracks. The 10-cent Superfecta makes it possible for.
- Strategies for Superfecta Wagering Your method of handicapping a horse race to make a real money superfecta wager can be as involved or simple as you like. Some people will try to gather every piece of information they can on the horses involved when coming up with horse racing betting strategy. Others will simply pick their favorite numbers.
There’s no other sport more commonly accepted for wagering throughout its existence quite like horse racing. While betting on baseball or football has been restricted by laws, wagering on horse racing has always been encouraged.
Because of this, horse racing has fine-tuned its system of wagering. As a result, you can find a bet that will fit every type of gambling desire you might possess.
Whether you’re looking for low-risk, low-volatility wagers or hoping to strike it big with a wager that’s difficult to hit, horse racing has something for you. And that’s true whether you’re gambling at the track or as part of a top online betting site.
Best Superfecta Wagering Strategies Payout
Winning a Superfecta Horse Bet
Superfecta wagering definitely falls in the category of high volatility. It’s one of the hardest wagers in the sport to get just right. To win a superfecta, you have to predict the order of finish for the first four spots in the race. Considering all of the possible combinations available to you in horse racing fields, you have to get lucky to hit a superfecta.
You can certainly help your chances out by doing homework on the race that you’re betting. By attempting to decipher how a race might play out, you just might be able to narrow down your choices. Once you narrow them down, the idea of hitting a superfecta won’t seem so far-fetched.
There are also ways you can adjust the bet to put the odds more in your favor. Of course, every adjustment you make usually means including more combinations on your betting ticket. And that will bring down your chances for profit. Such a maneuver will either increase the amount you have to bet or decrease the amount you can potentially win.
Of course, none of that might matter to you if it means you have a shot of hitting a superfecta. After all, the payouts for a winning superfecta tend to be substantial. For just a few dollars wagered, you can easily end up with winnings in the hundreds or even thousands of dollars.
That’s why some people think real money superfecta betting is similar to playing the lottery.
Even with great handicapping skills, you’re likely going to need a little luck to have even a slight chance of winning. Yet this will always be an attractive bet because of the potential awards that await you if you win.
In the following article, we’ll tell you everything you need to know to take part in some superfecta action of your own. We’ll tell you how the bet works, the economics, and how you can adjust the bet to cover as many possibilities for winning. And we’ll go over some strategies that will hopefully assist you in winning some superfectas of your own in the near future.
How a Superfecta Wager Works
When you make a wager on a horse race, you can essentially break it down to two distinct possibilities. There are straight wagers, which allow you to bet on the outcome of a single horse in a single race. And there are exotic wagers, which allow you to include multiple horses in your bet in the hopes of winning more in one fell swoop.
The most common types of straight bets are win, place, and show. Those allow you to wager on the horses you think will come in first, second, or third, respectively in a race. These are the simplest wagers you can make on a horse race.
Exotic wagers, on the other hand, represent bets that aren’t for sure. In fact, your odds are long that you’ll hit one in a particular race. But the monetary reward you do get for winning an exotic wager is significant enough to make some of the losses worth it.
Exacta, trifecta, and superfecta bets in horse racing form the most popular exotic wagers available to you within a single race. And you might be able to tell by the names how they all work. An exacta asks you to nail the first two in the order of finish in a race, while a trifecta requires you to get the top three. Then, what is a superfecta bet?
Well, as you might assume, the superfecta requires you to pick the top four finishers in a given race. In other words, if you were to bet a 7-5-3-4 superfecta, you would win if #7 came in first, #5 came in second, #3 came in third, and #4 came in fourth in the official order of finish.
Note that we said the “official” order of finish. Many people don’t realize that the race is only official until judges or stewards assigned to the track confirm the results.
For example, there might be a race where #1 crosses the finish line first, followed by #3, #6, #4, and #2. Imagine that you had bet the 3-6-4-2 superfecta. You might think you lost.
But what if the judges looked at the replay of the race and determined the #1 horse had caused major interference in the race and they decided to place him last?
Suddenly, with #1 out of the picture, the 3-6-4-2 bet would be the official order. That’s why you should never give up on your tickets until you see the “official” sign come up on whatever screen you’re watching the race.
It probably isn’t hard to understand that a superfecta can be extremely tricky to hit. Imagine a field with eight horses. There are 1,680 possible combinations that could come up involving those eight horses among the top four finishers.
Although your chances are technically 1,680 to 1, you have to remember that many of those combinations will be highly unlikely to occur due to the circumstances of the race. Ideally, you can narrow it down and make a wager based on a strong likelihood of the horses that might hit the top 4. But that isn’t easy when you’re playing only one possible combination.
That’s why you can also box a four-horse superfecta combination to increase your chances of winning. In a superfecta, you still need the top four in the order of finish on your ticket. But you will win regardless of their order in the top 4.
Let’s go back to the example above when you picked a 7-5-3-4 superfecta. If you bet just $2 on that exact combination, that is called betting it straight. You will win only if the horses come in that exact order in the top 4.
But let’s say that you decided to box that 7-5-3-4. Here are the combinations that can come in to make you a winner:
- 7-5-3-4
- 7-5-4-3
- 7-3-5-4
- 7-3-4-5
- 7-4-5-3
- 7-4-3-5
- 5-7-3-4
- 5-7-4-3
- 5-4-7-3
- 5-4-3-7
- 5-3-7-4
- 5-3-4-7
- 3-7-5-4
- 3-7-4-5
- 3-5-7-4
- 3-5-4-7
- 3-4-7-5
- 3-4-5-7
- 4-7-5-3
- 4-7-3-5
- 4-5-7-3
- 4-5-3-7
- 4-3-7-5
- 4-3-5-7
As you can see, you have more ways to win using a superfecta box. But, as you also might expect, you can expect to wager a lot more to get that done. We’ll explain it all in just a bit when we get into the economics of superfecta wagering.
How to Place Superfecta Bets
If you’ve never been to a race track or made real money wagers on horse races via gambling websites, you might be at a loss at how to make it happen. You might understand the concept of a superfecta but not know the protocol for making the wager.
Keep in mind, there are five pieces of information you will need to make any kind of horse racing wager.
- The track
- The race
- The horses you’ve chosen
- The amount of money you want to wager
- The type of bet
No matter where and how you place your bet, you’ll need to have all of this in order. For some people who are technically savvy, you will be able to do this at an online horse racing betting site with no problem. Just find the respective drop-down selections on a horse racing betting page and you should be able to navigate it with no problem.
If you prefer to do your wagering in person, however, you’ll need to either go to the track hosting the race or to a facility that accepts off-track wagers and simulcasts those races. In either case, you should be able to find employees known as “tellers” to help you place your bets.
Inform the teller about your bet, give them the money required to make it, and receive a redemption ticket with all the pertinent information included. If you win the bet, you can return with the ticket and get paid in cash.
When you bet with a teller, make sure to double-check your ticket before you walk away. Tellers can make mistakes because they don’t hear you properly or they hit the wrong buttons. If you don’t realize there’s a mistake on your ticket and the race starts, it might be too late to do anything about it.
Here’s an example of what you might say to a teller about when superfecta betting:
“Saratoga, Race #4, I’d like a 4-3-5-7 superfecta.”
This sentence lets the teller know the track (Saratoga) and the race (#4) right off the bat, along with the type of wager you’re making (superfecta) and the numbers of the horses involved (4-3-5-7). Based on that, the teller can print out the ticket.
You’ll note that there’s no mention of the amount wagered even though we listed that as one of the pieces of information you must have. If you don’t say anything to the teller, they will assume a $2 wager. Should you want to adjust that amount, mention that right before the type of the bet.
The teller will also take the wager in question is a straight superfecta unless you say otherwise. You would have to tell them if you want to make it a box of some kind and how much you want the box bet to be (more on that when we get to costs and paybacks).
Finally, you’ll also notice that the names of the horses aren’t included. Tellers are not responsible for knowing the names of the horses, since there are so many different ones running on any given day. That’s why you should know the number of the horse (or horses) you’re betting on so you can relay this information.
Costs and Payoffs for Superfecta Wagering
When you make a superfecta, you can generally assume you will be making a bet that will pay you a lot of money back on a small wager. In fact, a $2 superfecta wager will pay you at least $100 a majority of the time. But how much you will get is generally a mystery until you see the final prices.
This isn’t the case for a win bet. When you bet on a horse to win, you’ll know exactly what your odds are for that bet. That’s because they’re listed next to the horse’s number on the screen.
For Example:Imagine that you bet $2 on a horse to win at odds of 10 to 1. That means you will receive $10 for every $1 that you bet. As a result, you would win $20 (10 times 2 since you bet $2) as profit, with a payoff of $22 (which includes the return of your original $2 bet).
But how do you know how much you will get paid for a superfecta bet in horse racing? No track can give you the odds listings for 1,680 different superfecta combinations. (Remember that number came from an eight-horse field; more horses in the field means even more possibilities.)
While you won’t now how much you’ll get paid till after the race with a superfecta bet, you can know how that payoff is determined. Superfecta bets, like all other horse racing bets, are governed by a system known as pari-mutuel wagering.
In pari-mutuel wagering, payoffs are awarded based on how much resides in different pools of wagered money. These pools are divided by type of bet then by the specific bets available in each type.
Let’s again use the example of an eight-horse field. If the exact same amount of money were doled out to each of the 1,680 betting combinations, you would know for sure that your payout would be 1,680 to 1. But that of course won’t be the case, as different combinations of numbers will receive more betting attention than others based on the talent of horses involved.
Imagine that you’ve decided to bet a 1-3-5-7 superfecta in a race containing eight horses. In this race, let’s say there’s $50,000 total wagered on all of the different superfecta combinations.
Before anything else is done, the race track that hosts the race will take some money out of the pool for their profit. That’s known as the takeout, and it’s represented as a percentage of the total pool.
If the takeout for superfecta wagering on that track is 20%, that means $10,000 of the $50,000 superfecta pool for that race will go to the track. That leaves $40,000. Of that, $100 was wagered on the 1-3-5-7.
By dividing $40,000 by 100, you come away with 400. Your odds for the superfecta you’ve played are 400 to 1. And that’s what you would get paid if that superfecta comes in.
If you were playing that superfecta straight with a $2 wager, it means you would get $800 in return for your bet. You can also bet more than $2, which would affect your payoff positively if you end up hitting the superfecta.
Keep in mind that the superfecta payout has nothing to do with win, place, exacta, or any other payouts. They’re all contained in separate pools. Don’t try to anticipate your payout based on any of these, even if sometimes there’s a correlation.
Well, remember that you’re playing many more different combinations to box a superfecta. Your bet has to reflect that. You’ll notice above that there are 24 possible winning combinations available to you in a four-horse box. 24 multiplied by $2 would equal $48. That’s how much it would take to box a full-price superfecta.
Notice that we said “full price.” Many tracks allow you to halve your bet in return for half of the full payout. This reduces the size of your bet, but it also reduces your potential payoff.
This is known as a dollar (or $1) superfecta box. $1 is half of the $2 minimum. If your payout on a $2 superfecta bet was $1,000, a dollar box would only pay you $500 for an original wager of $24 (half of $48).
We’ll talk more about different ways you can include more horses in your superfecta coverage when we get to the strategy section. For now, just know you can be as creative as possible with the size of your bet and the amount of horses you include when you make this wager.
Winning a Consolation Superfecta
We’ve stated to this point that winning a superfecta requires to you to predict the top four in the order of finish prior to the beginning of the race. But there are ways to still win the bet without actually achieving that.
Remember how we said that superfecta payouts were determined by the pari-mutuel pools? Well, what would happen if not every one of the combinations possible received betting money? And, in turn, what would happen if one of those combinations with no money wagered on it were to win?
The track has to pay out the pool; they can’t just keep it because an uncovered combination happened to win. They’ll start paying off the bets that came closest to the winning combination.
Let’s say that you bet a 2-4-6-8 straight when superfecta betting online. The race ends with the combination of 2-4-6-7 coming in first through fourth. Normally, your bet, although close, wouldn’t get you any payout.
But what if no one in the entire pool placed their money on the 2-4-6-7? The track would then move to the next batch of tickets that were closest to that combination. They would pay off for any combination that had the #2 first, #4 second, and #3 third, regardless of what those combinations had for the fourth-place spot.
You would see something on the board like “2-4-6-ALL” or “2-4-6-(),” followed by the payoff amount. That just means any superfecta starting with 2-4-6 as the first three would pay off, and your 2-4-6-8 would qualify.
Of course, that also means 2-4-6-1 qualifies, 2-4-6-3, and so on. As a result, it might dilute your winnings a bit because the number of winning tickets might be higher than normal. Still, you would at least get something in return for your wager.
Strategies for Superfecta Wagering
Your method of handicapping a horse race to make a real money superfecta wager can be as involved or simple as you like. Some people will try to gather every piece of information they can on the horses involved when coming up with horse racing betting strategy. Others will simply pick their favorite numbers.
If you’re going to go the route of looking at past performances and other information contained in the racing program to determine the top horses, you have to beware of something. Due to the nature of horse racing, the first four finishers in the race don’t always represent the horses that performed the best in that particular race.
What often happens in the sport of horse racing is that a few horses will battle in the early going. One or more of these horses will fall back due to their effort. Meanwhile, horses who might have been sitting behind the pack can come flying up and finish either second, third, or fourth, even if they have no chance of winning.
That’s why it’s important not to simply rank horses when you’re thinking about your superfecta betting strategy. You might end up with the winner, but you’ll be frustrated if some of the ones you rated highly raced well but couldn’t sustain.
That’s not to say it can never happen that the top four in the race will coincide with the best four in the field. It’s just to say that you should be thinking of each place in the order as its own separate entity. Which horse is most likely to finish second, third, or fourth based on all the circumstances of the race?
When you diagnose the race as a whole, you’ll give yourself a better chance of making a correct superfecta wager. You can also increase your chances by employing a few good strategies that apply to this bet in particular. Let’s take a look at a few of them.
Throwing out Horses
The act of “throwing out” horses is a symbolic one performed by a bettor when sitting down to handicap a particular race. It simply means you are eliminating certain horses from consideration. You can do it with just about any type of horse racing wager, but, in the case of a superfecta, you’ll be looking to throw out the horses you don’t believe will finish in the top 4.
It can be intimidating to look at a field with eight, 10, or even 12 or more horses and narrow it down to four. But it gets less daunting if you can take certain horses out of the mix. And, truth be told, most horse races will include a few or more horses who just don’t have what it takes to be in contention.
You do have to be careful when throwing out horses for a superfecta. After all, it’s not uncommon for even a weaker horse to sneak into fourth place when others falter. Try to make sure that the horses you leave out are well out of the mix, and it will allow you to make choices on the others more confidently.
Keying Horses
When you key a horse, or horses in a field, you’re essentially including them in every combination when real money superfecta betting. In terms of keying a superfecta, there are many different ways to do it. How you do it will depend on the circumstances of the race and the budget you have to bet.
You can key a single horse as the first-place finisher then include four or five others that you think have a chance of finishing second, third, or fourth. You can include two or three keyed horses, either specifying the order or boxing them. No matter how you do it, you’re essentially putting emphasis on the horses that you think will make the top four and hedging your bets on the others.
If you’re sure #1 will finish first and #2 will finish second in a particular race, there are four other horses in the eight-horse field that you think can conceivably finish third or fourth.
You can say something like, “In the superfecta, I’d like a key with #1 in first, #2 in second, and #3, #4, #5, and #6 boxed for third and fourth.” The following combinations would be winners:
- 1-2-3-4
- 1-2-3-5
- 1-2-3-6
- 1-2-4-3
- 1-2-4-5
- 1-2-4-6
- 1-2-5-3
- 1-2-5-4
- 1-2-5-6
- 1-2-6-3
- 1-2-6-4
- 1-2-6-4
As you can see, there are 12 possible combinations. For a full-price superfecta bet with those numbers, you’ll need to wager $24. For a dollar-bet (paying half of full-price), you’ll need $12.
Keyed superfectas can get as involved as you like them. When done correctly, you’ll get exposure to the horses you think have a chance while keeping the size of your bet under control.
Partial Superfectas Horse Racing Bets
10 Cent Superfecta Wheel Combinations
Sites will try to spur superfecta betting online by including partial superfectas. What these bets do is lower the amount of money you need to wager to get exposure to a single combination, even while keeping the minimum bet of $2 intact.
If a track offers a 10-cent superfecta, you can play 20 different combinations for a $2 wager. Obviously, that gives you more chances to win.
Of course, the payout is then divided by 20 as well. In other words, if a superfecta bet were to pay off $200 at full price, it would only pay off at $10 ($200 divided by 20) at the 10-cent level.
The trick with partial superfectas is to divvy up the bets any way you want. Using the 10-cent superfecta as an example, you might want to play 20 different combinations. Or you could play one combination for a dollar’s worth, then split up the remaining $1 of the wager into 10 different combinations.
10-cent superfectas aren’t the only partial wagers you’ll see for this bet. 25-cent and 50-cent superfectas are also popular. It’s the track’s discretion how they will offer this wager, while online gambling sites might give you other options as well.
Partial superfectas greatly increase your chances of winning this otherwise difficult to bet. You just have to accept that the hefty payout often associated with the bet will be greatly reduced when you do it in this manner.
Test Your Skills at Superfecta Wagering
How Much Does It Take to Box Four Horses in When Superfecta Betting and Still Get Paid Full Price?
Superfecta Table Handicapping
$48 because of the 24 winning combinations included.
Why Does “Throwing Out” Horses Help With Superfecta Wagers?
By eliminating horses, you can more easily diagnose the horses that have a chance of actually making the top 4 of the race in question.
Can I Expect a Large Payout From a Superfecta Win?
In most cases, superfecta betting will pay off over $100 for a $2 wager, with many payoffs ranging up much higher than that.
Conclusion on Superfecta Horse Racing Betting
For some people, the idea of winning a little bit here and there while betting horse races is more than enough. But others might not have the patience for such a grind, or they simply might want the chance at winning a lot in a hurry. Superfecta wagers give you that chance more than just about any other type of horse racing wager.
The drawback is that it’s an extremely hard wager to hit. But just one superfecta win in a week or so of wagering can often be enough for you to turn a profit. Using some of the strategies that we highlighted above, you can improve your chances to hit this unique wager.
Introduction
In this era of betting on the horses, there are multiple types of wagers available on most races at most tracks across the country. Handicappers must choose which pools to venture into based on the risk involved, their own temperment, size of bankroll and ability to handle losing streaks. This is a guide to help F.A.S.T. Sheets users get the most out of the information provided. These are general guidelines and suggestions as how to wager on different types of bets and isn't an endorsement of one type of wagering over another.
Basic Strategy
Win Wagering Strategy: The TrackMaster F.A.S.T. Sheets assess each horse’s probability of winning and produce acceptable (fair) odds for the contenders. As post time nears, if only one contender has odds equal to or higher than its acceptable odds (an overlay), then a wager on the horse to win is called for. If there are two overlays in a given race, a wager on both horses to win is indicated. If there are three or more overlays in a given race, bet on the overlay with the largest (post-time odds to one)/(fair odds to one) ratio. Here is an example.
Click here for a F.A.S.T. Sheets sample. (Examples are from the Del Mar, August 31, 2002 report.)
In race eight, here are the contenders and their respective post-time odds, acceptable odds:
#7 Buffythecenterfold 7/2, 5/1
#3 Miss Houdini 11/1, 6/1
#5 Santa Catarina 4/5, 7/1
#1 Ionia 18/1, 8/1
#2 Sea Jewel 5/1, 10/1
#3 Miss Houdini and #1 Ionia are both win bets since they are the only two horses that have post-time odds greater than or equal to acceptable odds. Miss Houdini won this race paying $24.80. Since there were only two overlays in the race, the (post-time odds to one)/(acceptable odds to one) ratio calculation wasn't needed. If it were, the calculation for these two contender would be 11/6 = 1.83 for Miss Houdini and 18/8 = 2.25 for Ionia.
Odds Level Chart
ODDS | ODDS TO 1 |
1/5 | .20 |
2/5 | .40 |
1/2 | .50 |
3/5 | .60 |
4/5 | .80 |
1/1 | 1.0 |
6/5 | 1.2 |
7/5 | 1.4 |
3/2 | 1.5 |
8/5 | 1.6 |
9/5 | 1.8 |
2/1 | 2.0 |
5/2 | 2.5 |
3/1 | 3.0 |
7/2 | 3.5 |
4/1 | 4.0 |
9/2 | 4.5 |
5/1 | 5.0 |
6/1 | 6.0 |
7/1 | 7.0 |
8/1 | 8.0 |
9/1 | 9.0 |
Superfecta Winning System
Adjustments for Late Scratches: Any late scratches can definitely have significant changes on the complexion of the pace of a race and thus the acceptable odds which are provided by the F.A.S.T. Sheets. Cautions are provided within the text of a Basic Race or a Fast-paced Race to check on the scratches of any of the Front-runners since this can drastically change the expected pace of a race. If after late scratches a horse becomes the only remaining Front-runner in the race, its chances should be upgraded. If late scratches leave a race originally described as Fast-paced with less than four Front-runners, then the chances of all the contenders that are Front-runners should be upgraded.
In general, when one of the contenders is scratched, the odds of the remaining contenders should be dropped one or two odds levels depending on how low the odds were on the scratched horse.
Track Bias Adjustments: Some users may want to adjust the acceptable odds based on a track bias. If a user has been watching the races at his track for a few days and notices that the Trailers have been winning a majority of the races, he can then adjust the acceptable odds provided downward by one or two odds levels for the Trailers while adjusting the odds upwards for the non-Trailers. If a user has determined that Front-runners on the rail are at an advantage, he can adjust the acceptable odds downward on the horse he believes will take this advantage. This tactic should be used with caution and should only be used by everyday players who are in touch with the day to day idyosincracies of the tracks they seriously follow. The F.A.S.T. Sheets are actually formatted in a way to easily spot the running styles of the horses going into a race and make tracking the running styles of the winners very easy.
Exotic Strategy
Definitions:Exotic Wager: Any bet which isn't a win, place or show bet.
Box: Combining two or more horses in an exacta, trifecta, or superfecta so that all possible combinations involving the horses is covered.
Wheel: Using a key selection in an exotic wager with all the other horses. A partial wheel would be combining the key selection with all those horses deemed contenders.
Back Wheel: In an exacta, using a key selection in the second position with all other horses in the race. A partial back wheel would be using those deemed contenders on top of the key selection.
Single: A race in a serial exotic wager, in which only one horse is used in that race.
Gap Horse: A top rated contender on the F.A.S.T. Sheets that has a 'gap' in acceptable odds of at least five odds levels between it and the acceptable odds of the second rated contender. In race seven, the top rated horse #3 Wheater has acceptable odds of 9/5. The second rated horse #1 Vronsky has acceptable odds of 7/1. Using the odds chart from above, there are eight odds levels between 9/5 and 7/1, thus Wheater is a Gap Horse.
Exacta Strategy: For exactas, one strategy is to box the overlays on the contenders list and play the overlays with the other contenders. In race nine, here are the contenders with post-time odds, acceptable odds:
#5 Panther Quick 15/1, 6/1
#4 Augustan 14/1, 7/1
#6 More Influence 8/5, 7/1
#7 Good Ol' Uncle Joe 5/2, 8/1
#8 Chinois 5/1, 9/1
The overlays are #4 Augustan and #5 Panther Quick. The exactas to play are:
4, 5 box
4, 5 with 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
4, 5, 6, 7, 8 with 4, 5
The overlays are boxed and played on top and underneath the contenders in a partial top wheel and back wheel. This gives an extra combination if the overlays run first and second. If playing the combinations for $1 these tickets would cost $18.00. If there were only one overlay and the horse was used in a partial wheel and back wheel with the other contenders the tickets would cost $8.00.
This exacta came in #7 Good Ol' Uncle Joe first and #4 Augustan second. The $1 exacta paid $37.00.
Trifecta Strategy: The trifecta, picking the first three finishers in the correct order, has become a mainstay at tracks across the country. One strategy is to key the overlays in all three spots of the trifecta, especially if the overlays are longshots. Here are the contenders in race one with post-time odds, acceptable odds:
#4 Cannon One 5/2, 4/1
#6 Hot 1/2, 5/1
#1 Cheverly Gold 19/1, 6/1
#3 Televangelist 7/1, 10/1
The only contender which is an overlay is the first time starter, #1 Cheverly Gold. The trifecta combinations to play are:
1 with 3, 4, 6 with 3, 4, 6
3, 4, 6 with 1 with 3, 4, 6
3, 4, 6 with 3, 4, 6 with 1
4 with 6 with 1
This combination of tickets would cost $19.00. The last combination is purchased in the exact order from top to bottom of the contenders list. It's worth playing the extra buck in case the race finishes as predicted. For those who wish to play the trifecta in an easy and inexpensive manner just playing the last ticket is the way to go. Cashing will be infrequent, but it will occur often enough.
This trifecta came in #4 Cannon One, #6 Hot, #1 Cheverly Gold. The $1 trifecta paid $31.60.
There are many strategies to playing trifectas. Handicappers must determine how much of their bankroll to spend on this risky proposition. Long losing streaks are not uncommon.
Superfecta Strategy: The superfecta, picking the first four finishers in the correct order, is a tough bet to cash, but the payoffs can be sizeable.One strategy is to play the two overlays with the highest odds ratio in all four spots with the other contenders filling out the rest of the ticket. This example is from the tenth race. Here are the contenders with post-time odds, acceptable odds:
#6 Indiahoma 3/1, 5/1
#10 Five Schillings 6/1, 6/1
#1 Dereck 12/1, 8/1
#8 Northern Crown 54/1, 9/1
#9 Jordi Moi 7/1, 9/1
The odds ratios for the three overlays are #10 Five Schillings 6/6 = 1.0, #1 Dereck 12/8 = 1.5 and #8 Northern Crown 54/9 = 6.0. Using the top two odds ratio horses as keys, the three tickets to play would look like this:
1, 8 with 1, 8 with 6, 9, 10 with 6, 9, 10
1, 8 with 6, 9, 10 with 1, 8 with 6, 9, 10
1, 8 with 6, 9, 10 with 6, 9, 10 with 1, 8
In this instance one of the key selections (#1 or #8) would have to win and the other horse would have to show up in the top four as well. These three tickets would cost $36.
A simple and inexpensive way to play the superfecta is to take the top three contenders in order and put the forth and fifth choices in the fourth spot on the ticket:
6 with 10 with 1 with 8, 9. It only costs $2 to play the ticket. Needless to say, the ticket won't be cashed that often.
The order of finish for this race was #1 Dereck, #8 Northern Crown, #6 Indiahoma, #10 Five Schillings. The $1 superfecta paid a whopping $31,894.60.
There are numerous ways of boxing and wheeling contenders to play the superfecta. Handicappers must fit this wager into their budget and find situations where this becomes a profitable play over the long haul.
Daily Double Strategy: For the Daily Double, one strategy is to play the top overlays in the first race with the contenders in the second race and to play the contenders in the first race with the morning line overlays in the second race. Here are the contenders and odds for races nine and ten:
Race Nine, post-time odds, acceptable odds:
#5 Panther Quick 15/1, 6/1
#4 Augustan 14/1, 7/1
#6 More Influence 8/5, 7/1
#7 Good Ol' Uncle Joe 5/2, 8/1
#8 Chinois 5/1, 9/1
Race Ten, morning line odds, acceptable odds:#6 Indiahoma 7/2, 5/1
#10 Five Schillings 6/1, 6/1
#1 Dereck 12/1, 8/1
#8 Northern Crown 15/1, 9/1
#9 Jordi Moi 6/1, 9/1
Using the overlayed contenders as key selections, the daily double tickets would be:
4, 5 with 1, 6, 8, 9, 10
4, 5, 6, 7, 8 with 1, 8
This combination of $2 tickets comes to $40. To cut down on the cost, one could play only the top overlay in each race with the contenders in the other race.
The daily double results came in #7 Good Ol' Uncle Joe in the ninth and #1 Dereck in the tenth. The $2 daily double paid $115.
Pick N Strategy: For the serial exotics such as the Pick 3, Pick 4, etc., an acceptable strategy is to key the contenders that are overlays versus the morning line and play them with the other contenders. This strategy would be similar to the daily double except that there are more races with contenders added. If one of the races in the series has a race with only one contender or a gap horse which can be 'singled,' the cost of the tickets will become much less expensive.
Please send any questions or comments to craig@trackmaster.com.