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Matthew Freedman: In the Divisional Round, I like to bet against No. 1 seeds as home favorites, but I must make an exception for the Packers and Aaron Rodgers. I’m a simple person: I like to bet on quarterbacks who win, and Rodgers wins. For his career, he’s an A-graded 119-84-5 against the spread (ATS) for a 14.7% Return On Investment (ROI).

We had three fantastic games Saturday during NFL Wild Card Weekend and the games only get better Sunday. With three games now on each day, it sets up endless opportunities for bettors. So without further ado, let’s take a look at our top NFL Wild Card parlay prediction for Sunday’s slate.

NFL Wild Card Sunday parlay picks and predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 9:25 a.m. ET.

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Leg 1: Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (+140)

The Titans enter this game as 3-point home underdogs. That doesn’t make a ton of sense considering Tennessee has already beaten Baltimore this season. While it’s true the Titans have one of the league’s worst pass defenses, the Ravens aren’t the type of team that can expose them in that area.

This is a game in which both teams are going to want to run the ball early and often, but the game will ultimately be decided by which quarterback plays better. Given their recent playoff history, Titans QB Ryan Tannehill inspires more confidence, especially with his arsenal of weapons at receiver.

The Titans aren’t a bad bet on the spread (+3, -105), but the value is here on the money line. Tennesee has a great chance to win this game at home and advance to the second round of the playoffs.

Also see:Ravens at Titans odds, picks and prediction

Leg 2: Chicago Bears +11 (-110) at New Orleans Saints

It’s hard to trust Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky much in a playoff game, but the recent history of Saints QB Drew Brees isn’t much better. New Orleans has one of the most talented rosters in the NFL, but their quarterback play over the last month has been less than ideal.

The Bears likely won’t win this game, but as double-digit underdogs on the road with no fans? That seems like a little bit too much. We know Chicago has a great defense and should make things difficult for Brees and Saints head coach Sean Payton.

If the Bears’ offense can score into the low-20s, they should have no problem covering this spread. There is also some backdoor cover potential here for the Bears as they could easily score late and get this within 10 in the final minutes.

Also see:Bears at Saints odds, picks and prediction

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How To Bet On Nfl Games Legally

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Leg 3: Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 (-105)

Despite the Browns being without their head coach and several key players such as OL Joel Bitonio, CB Denzel Ward and DE Olivier Vernon, the Steelers are just 6.5 point favorites in this game. In the first meeting of the season, Pittsburgh dominated from the opening whistle. That game was never a contest and Cleveland was much healthier than they are entering this Wild Card matchup.

Pittsburgh’s defense should dominate in this game and it’s hard to envision Cleveland scoring more than 17 points. For that reason, the Steelers should cover with ease as they will face a defense that can’t stop opposing quarterbacks at all.

Also see:Browns at Steelers odds, picks and prediction

WILD CARD PARLAY Bet $100 to earn a profit of $694.55

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The NFL Divisional Round slate features the future of the quarterback position in the AFC with the reigning MVP, a former MVP, the 2018 No. 1 overall pick and a 2020 MVP candidate while the NFC has three future Hall of Fame QBs and a generational defensive force taking the field. Let’s make this NFL weekend even sweeter by cashing a three-bet parlay. Below, we make our NFL Divisional Round parlay predictions.

NFL Divisional Round parlay picks and predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:50 p.m. ET.

Leg 1: Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers: UNDER 45.5 (-110)

The Rams defense is all-world this season, ranking first in opponent’s points per game and yards per play, and sack rate. I don’t expect them to completely shut down the Packers like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers did earlier this season but I expect Los Angeles to minimize the damage QB Aaron Rodgers and Co. can do.

Also, Green Bay ranks first in net time of possession and Los Angeles second so both teams are good at controlling the flow of the game.

As for the Rams offense, I could give you rankings and metrics but let’s just settle on Los Angeles has the worst offense of all the remaining playoff teams. There’s no secret to the Rams’ recipe for a Super Bowl run. It’s 90% defense, 8% offense and 2% P Johnny Hekker.

Also see:Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and prediction

Leg 2: Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills: BUF Money line (-155)

Forgo 3 points with Buffalo’s spread and BET BILLS (-155) to win outright because we’re are still going to get a fat payout if our parlay cashes. These teams are the most evenly matched in the NFL Divisional Round Weekend.

Personally, I like the Bills here because they’ve played the most consistently in the NFL this season. Buffalo has the second-best cover percentage and best spread margin.

Naysayers will point to the Bills’ below-average rush defense as a reason to back the Ravens but my counter is Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott is a defensive tactician that will coach up his D vs. a one-dimensional Baltimore attack.

Most things being equal, I’ll take the home team with more momentum and circle the wagons with the Bills.

Also see:Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Special NFL Playoffs Betting Promotion!

Bet $1 on any team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if ANY NFL team scores a touchdown in the playoffs this weekend. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, NJ, TN and WV. PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free first-bet offer.

MI residents, BetMGM is coming to your state soon — take advantage of early registration promotions! New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Place your legal, online sports wagers at BetMGM. Bet now!

Leg 3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints: NOS ML (-165)

Copy and paste the same logic as the section above here. I’m more worried about landing this parlay plane than I am maxing out the payout.

New Orleans’ 38-3 Week 9 victory over Tampa Bay on Sunday Night Football was possibly the most lopsided outcome this season and Saints beat the Bucs by 11 in the first week of the season.

Tampa Bay’s defense is overrated hence its 10-7 Over/Under record. The Buccaneers allowed the Washington Football Team (with QB Taylor Heinicke making his second career start) to put up 23 points last week.

Coincidentally, the Saints’ two games against the Bucs and the NFC Wild Card Round are the only three games in which New Orleans has had all three of RB Alvin Kamara, QB Drew Brees and WR Michael Thomas in the lineup at the same time.